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Old 01-10-2012, 09:00 PM   #1 (permalink)
tacoma
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Default Percentage of successful marriages that start as affairs?

I`m always seeing this 2.5% number for successful marriage born from infidelity.

Can anyone cite any study for this number?
My Google-Fu must be sucking tonight as I can`t find anything out there.

I did find this site that states marriages born of affairs have a 25% shot of making it which sounds a bit more reasonable to me.

About Affairs » Blog Archive » Can Relationships That Start as Affairs Succeed…Revisited

There is one respondent in that thread who twists that 25% into 2.5% with a disrespect for mathematical objectivity I haven`t seen since Copernicus unravelled the epicycles.

Quote:
I read somewhere that only 10% of people entering an affair end up leaving their spouses. The percentage you quoted is based on those who actually ended up getting married from an affair relationship, so all of them belong to that 10%. Even if everyone who left their spouse ended up marrying their affair partner, only 25% of that 10% will stay married. Which to me translates into – if you are entering an affair relationship, there is only 2.5% chance (25 x 0.1)you will end up marrying and staying married to your affair partner. Maybe that’s why 25% sounds high to you, 2.5% is a better number.
LMAO…ohh that was funny!!

I`d just like to know what the odds are in truth and would appreciate any input.
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