Originally Posted by Married but Happy View Post
I expect ACA to be replaced. The concept was good (to get far more Americans insured), but the execution flawed. Whatever replaces it will also be badly flawed, but hopefully will correct the more serious issues even as others are created. I expect that far fewer people will be able to get health insurance, though, so in that respect it will be a step backward. I feel bad for all those who want - but won't be able to obtain - insurance. There will be little - if any - impact on me; there may be some on my wife when I retire, but we have options which many people do not. Trump did support a single-payer/universal type plan at one point, but I doubt that will have any traction.
It's hard to argue that the ACA isn't flawed, even if I like you agree with the stated goal. The usual law of unintended consequences kicked in. However, the ACA is also victim of the usual problem where you don't hear the success stories. My wife works in a pediatrician's office. Many of their clients are grateful for the insurance coverage they couldn't get before the ACA, and will likely lose when it goes away.
Trump will be toxic for the environment, especially climate change. We'll all eventually pay the price (or our children will), but by the time the more serious impacts occur I'll be dead and won't care anyway. I'll be selling my beach property and moving to the mountains in a few years when I retire. And while mining coal may restore a few thousand jobs, the resulting air pollution impacts will kill many times that (let's leave out the greenhouse gas impact for now).
Sigh. Yup. Which is too bad, because he really could make a dent in one of his campaign promises to return manufacturing to America with a federal renewable energy push.
Socially? Well, we'll see the clock turned back 60 years or more, I think. Won't affect me, but we'll have more bias and stratification of society, which I find sad. As for immigration: I don't think a wall is viable, but keeping out illegals and deporting those who are here illegally doesn't bother me. It will cost a lot, and will have negative economic impacts. Once people begin to feel those, any draconian measures will be scaled back anyway.
The south found out a few years ago that Americans actually don't want to work in the fields for slave wages. When the price of your produce triples, we may find that wall winds up with a few strategically placed doors.
Foreign policy? Meh. We have good allies and bad allies, and allies of convenience - which are which may become clearer, and we don't need to intervene in so many local conflicts (other than to keep the arms-makers afloat for times when we really need them). The main concerns are what we do about Russian and Chinese aggression and expansionism. Do we draw a line, or flinch? How and where that line is drawn could have potentially severe consequences. This does worry me, as those consequences will happen sooner rather than later.
His comments on NATO were troubling, but I sort of expect him to get pulled back on that one by those in the know. You just know that he's going to be the butt of every joke at every international conference he attends. My German peers are already filling my inbox with jokes about our political system.